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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (15546–15642, n=31188)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)49% (6381–6570, n=12951)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.1M$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #143PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #728
Sides with the consensus77% (27 of 35 open)56% (65 of 116 open)56% (44 of 78 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 99% of 141)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1youcanbuythisbot
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KRavens $18Jaguars $8.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.6KUnder $816
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92KRavens $13Ravens $3.3K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $2.0K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $36
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.2KUnder $410——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $167——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $255
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K—Jaguars $180—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $5
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6Under $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $151Jaguars $842—
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $5Suns $860—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $8Ipek Oz $678—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $529Yes $18
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $5Magic $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $47
Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7Yes $11—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $117——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $223——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $71——
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $2.0K—Warriors $520—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $5
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293—Ravens $636—
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $49Yuta Shimizu $407—
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
—Oilers $36Oilers $406—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $204Ivan Gakhov $223—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $360Over $21
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $192Yes $8
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16—Yes $38
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $24
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1