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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FlamePyro | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.8K | $4.1M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 64% (105 of 164 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 62% (34 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FlamePyro | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | Notre Dame $47K | Miami (FL) $965 | Notre Dame $169K | Notre Dame $62K |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | UTEP $2.7K | Hawai'i $470 | — | Hawai'i $561 |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $35K | West Virginia $108 | — | — |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $210 | Miami (FL) $24K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Magic $3.4K | — | Warriors $770 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Over $39 |
| Red Wings vs. Avalanche opposite sides · consensus Red Wings | — | Red Wings $44 | — | Avalanche $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $41 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | — | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $23K | — | No $7.4K |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan same side · consensus Michigan State | Michigan State $1.7K | — | — | Michigan State $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Michigan (-13.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | — | Michigan State $15K | Michigan State $5 |
| Fresno State vs. Utah State same side · consensus Utah State | — | Utah State $4 | — | Utah State $13K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $52 | Notre Dame $4.2K |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | — | Under $223 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Florida | — | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $30 |