Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677l..messiRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)57% (1110–846, n=1956)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$84K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #7was PM monthly #787PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (88 of 122 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)61% (37 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)28% (won 12% of 436)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 38% of 160)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 75% of 225)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)47% (won 97% of 716)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677l..messiRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.0K——Yes $59
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.8K——Over $106
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.4K——No $179
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $445——Clippers $722
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Heat $172——Kings $980
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K——Coco Gauff $58K
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $30K——No $2.9K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $659——Keisuke Saitoh $24K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.3K——Over $3.4K
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $806——Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $2.9K——Kings $837
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5K——Under $570
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5K——Under $554
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.7K——Over $256
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Clippers $1.2K——Clippers $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.9K——Over $930
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.5K——Under $93
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.2K——Clippers $754
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Over $204
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $646——Pelicans $221
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370——Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4——No $26