← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | mildwindow27 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6506–6010, n=12516) | 36% (5213–9439, n=14652) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | -$151K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #331 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (182 of 259 open) | 78% (1225 of 1564 open) | 68% (105 of 155 open) | 68% (25 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | mildwindow27 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $14 | Yes $64K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton $8.1K | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $23K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $26 | Yes $11K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $572 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato opposite sides · consensus Philip Henning | Carlo Alberto Caniato $48 | — | — | Philip Henning $2.8K |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | Remy Bertola $835 | — | — | Kilian Feldbausch $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti $438 | — | — | Luca Van Assche $1.3K |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $108 | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3 | Yes $539 | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $32 | Yes $345 | — |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $186 | Yes $141 | — |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $20 | Yes $250 | — |
| M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand | Robert Guna $83 | — | — | Robin Bertrand $172 |
| Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $34 | Yes $166 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | — | — | Under $181 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $99 | Yes $7 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $28 |
| Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel $3 | — | — | Jurij Rodionov $10 |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $11K | — | — | Anastasia Zakharova $13K |
| Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | Noma Noha Akugue $20 | — | — | Noma Noha Akugue $23K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Laslo Djere | Laslo Djere $2.9K | — | — | Laslo Djere $11K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea $6.3K | — | — | Sorana Cirstea $7.2K |
| Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier same side · consensus Sumit Nagal | Sumit Nagal $5.1K | — | — | Sumit Nagal $5.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig same side · consensus Matej Dodig | Matej Dodig $663 | — | — | Matej Dodig $96 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $127 | — | — | Yes $176 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? same side · consensus No | — | No $175 | No $96 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $174 | — | — | Under $42 |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | — | No $41 | No $173 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? same side · consensus No | — | No $49 | No $40 | — |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | — | No $67 | No $17 | — |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | No $13 | — |
| Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | No $6 | — |