← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | Sausesantana | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.8M | $20K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #830 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (145 of 195 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 56% (79 of 140 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | Sausesantana |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.9K | — | Yes $2.1K | — |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.3K | — | Yes $614 | — |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona | FC Barcelona $7.9K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $2 | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | Racing Club de Lens $7.2K | — | Olympique de Marseille $1 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | Under $420 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | — | No $2 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | Calvin Hemery $973 | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $472 | — | Over $5 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | No $320 | — | Yes $99 | — |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $112 | — | Over $267 | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $222 | — | Over $124 | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $334 | — | Under $7 | — |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Under $55 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | 76ers $136 | — | Bulls $106 | — |
| Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $68 | — | No $87 | — |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger | Mitchell Krueger $108 | — | Samir Banerjee $1 | — |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | Broncos $1.4K | — | Broncos $45K | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $28K | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $18K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K | — |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | CD Cobresal $13K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | — | Yes $4.5K | — |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | Club Atlético de Madrid $9.8K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $137 | — |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $3.8K | — | No $5.8K | — |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $6.7K | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $7.8K | — | No $5 | — |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov | Stefan Kozlov $4.2K | — | Stefan Kozlov $3.2K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $5.8K | — | No $439 | — |
| Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.5K | — | Yes $885 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | No $214 | — | No $4.4K | — |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $3.9K | — | No $629 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | No $214 | — | No $4.2K | — |
| Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | No $2.8K | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.2K | — | Over $847 | — |
| Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $1.0K | — |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.2K | — | Under $468 | — |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | Yes $234 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | No $820 | — | No $1.6K | — |