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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppagliacci4RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)96% (1650–75, n=1725)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$11K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #959PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus74% (162 of 220 open)96% (24 of 25 open)55% (87 of 158 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppagliacci4RN1S-Works
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.5KNo $2.0KNo $5.9K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9KYes $1.9KYes $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $9.2K—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $5.5K—Olympique de Marseille $3—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.0K—Yes $117—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.0K—Under $389—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 $2.3K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—No $14—
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $1.7K—Arkansas Razorbacks $347—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $299—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—No $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $231—Virginia Cavaliers $564—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $635—Over $18—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $349—Virginia Cavaliers $2—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334—Under $7—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $286—No $10—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $159—Under $93—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas Razorbacks $6—Virginia Cavaliers $49—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $76K—No $4.7K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $17K—No $14K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16K—Under $8.4K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $7.2K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7.1K—Over $10K—
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.5K—No $8.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $12K—CD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $1.6K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.7K—No $2.3K—
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5.2K—No $2.0K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.9K—No $5—
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.2K—Under $1.4K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K—No $2.9K—
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K—Over $3.5K—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.8K—Yes $1.8K—
Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.5K—No $1—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $934—No $4.4K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.2K—Over $780—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $2.2K—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.5K—Over $587—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
Andres Martin $2.8K—Andres Martin $22—