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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppollo07primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)40% (367–546, n=913)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$115K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #75PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (199 of 317 open)68% (19 of 28 open)no open consensus position64% (107 of 166 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −3 pts, n=70——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)51% (won 1% of 207)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)3% (won 45% of 11)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)2% (won 44% of 9)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)44% (won 96% of 179)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppollo07primmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Alex de Minaur $7.4K——Tomas Etcheverry $56K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.7K——Joanna Garland $5.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K——No $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Monzon
Franco Agamenone $61——Ignacio Monzon $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $210——No $663
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $223——Hawks $396
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Tena Lukas $2——Pia Lovric $250
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $47——Over $48
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $20K——Lorenzo Musetti $53K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K——Under $45
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.1K——Over $7.8K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.7K——Under $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.1K——No $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $784——76ers $243
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Henri Haupt $868——Henri Haupt $54
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
Iliyan Radulov $139——Iliyan Radulov $612
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $645——Under $56
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $505——Over $164
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
Ignacio Parisca $320——Ignacio Parisca $302
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
same side · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
Carlota Martinez Cirez $381——Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $17——Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $167——Under $121
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $39——Under $243
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $218——Wizards $22
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10——Yes $162
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
same side · consensus Lisa Pigato
Gaia Maduzzi $72——Gaia Maduzzi $56
W50 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Elena Ruxandra Bertea $16——Elena Ruxandra Bertea $83
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $78——Over $15
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $28
W50 Heraklion: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
Nuria Brancaccio $27——Nuria Brancaccio $10