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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UpTheBluesbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (17998–18484, n=36482)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #7was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (141 of 235 open)100% (1 of 1 open)53% (63 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=942, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=66, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 99% of 2645)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 7907)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 8513)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 18795)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUpTheBluesbeachboy4RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $18K—Over $2.4K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $23—Bills $18K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $11K—Bills $4.0K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.7K—Over $7.0K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $2.5K—Ravens $7.0K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $13—Steelers $9.1K
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $9.0K—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.3K—Over $382
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $4.6K—Titans $2.2K
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $6.3K—Felipe de Dios $1
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.4K—Over $2.5K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $934
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.9K—Over $3.0K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.3K—Over $39
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8K—Over $142
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $2.6K
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Hugo Dellien $12—Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 2 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $140
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9K—Over $125
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $547—Bills $2.5K
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3K—Yes $648
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $2.8K—Jose Pereira $129
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7K—Yes $10
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $1.2K—Cowboys $1.4K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $341—No $2.2K
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $810—No $1.3K
Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $33—No $2.1K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toulouse FC
Olympique de Marseille $43—Toulouse FC $1.8K
Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 2 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $123
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $526
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $358
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $174—Titans $1.2K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $52—Over $1.3K
Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $1.2K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $213
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $305—Over $768
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $225—Titans $766
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $47—Titans $826
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $807—No $26
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $152—Cardinals $629
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $58—Over $542
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $292—Under $228
Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $411—Yes $18
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $318—Yes $102
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $201—Over $207
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $263—Bills $93
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $8—Titans $271
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $155—Yes $54
Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $156—Yes $22
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $166—Over $12