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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888BreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)58% (26599–19262, n=45861)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$417K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus58% (108 of 185 open)70% (57 of 82 open)61% (78 of 127 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1812———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1978)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5856)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5819)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3763)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888BreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $5.1KRaiders $105KJets $245—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $3.3KBills $35KRavens $1.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.6KCardinals $32KCowboys $18—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $308Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.5K—
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $2.2KBills $387K——
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $300KSteelers $79—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $259KSteelers $3.2K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $538Raiders $16K——
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $47—Yes $7.4K—
Vikings vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Lions $4.8K—Vikings $1.0K—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $3.1K—Falcons $959—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.4K—Under $1.5K—
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $531—Under $2.8K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $264—Lions $1.5K—
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $162—No $1.6K—
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $43—Yes $788—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $268—Magic $116—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $322—Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $86—Over $179—
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $74—Yes $49—
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $10—Yes $76—
Will Campobasso FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $67—No $3—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $16—Felipe de Dios $31—
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1—Under $18—
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $8—
Will Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1—No $7—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $751Cardinals $58K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $18KRaiders $28—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $2.6KJaguars $13K——
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV $540—Hamburger SV $8.0K—
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $191—Over $7.1K—
Bratislava 2: Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa
same side · consensus Eero Vasa
Eero Vasa $43—Eero Vasa $5.0K—
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $2—No $4.6K—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $2.6K—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4.0K—Over $4—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.1K—Over $805—
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $1.0K—
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $2.7K—
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Under $319—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $94—
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6—No $1.1K—
Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $138—Under $942—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $96—No $654—
Genoa CFC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
No $670—No $13—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $216—No $453—
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $47—Under $475—
Colts vs. Jaguars
same side · consensus Jaguars
Colts $162—Colts $271—
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $280—No $145—
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $315—No $22—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $228—No $21—