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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
blue.birdsFlaznorpprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)36% (1929–3463, n=5392)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$10K$3.3M$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #453PM monthly #16PM monthly #51PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus78% (7 of 9 open)65% (162 of 248 open)67% (2 of 3 open)68% (80 of 118 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCrypto −6 pts, n=1141Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 1% of 843)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 13% of 87)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 53% of 93)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 97% of 118)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketblue.birdsFlaznorpprimmUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $5.2K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $990—Yes $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $720—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $517—CD Tenerife $45
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444Ball State $18—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23—Yes $273
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—CD Tenerife $99—FC Andorra $191
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $111—Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
—CD Tarancón $11—Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42—Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $42
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24—Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $2.6K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $713—Under $2.7K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $155
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311—Under $416
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14—Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $21—No $61