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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dartanyan150FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (288–202, n=490)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)
Consensus PnL$10K$1.4M$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #943PM monthly #14PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (97 of 145 open)no open consensus position50% (15 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won96% of 249 at avg 68¢, ROI +27%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 78% of 9)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 95% of 116)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 98% of 123)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdartanyan150FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $167—Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
opposite sides · consensus Georgii Kravchenko
—Georgii Kravchenko $12—Johannus Monday $21
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
—Tomas Machac $3.0K—Tomas Machac $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $182—Cavaliers $111
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $3—No $19