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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ghorrockCORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (6114–5447, n=11561)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$16K$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (204 of 304 open)0% (0 of 4 open)71% (73 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 87% of 90)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 369)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 401)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1208)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketghorrockCORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Steelers $18—Browns $297K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $3—Raiders $171K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15—Bills $51K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $136—Yes $38K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $353—Yes $28K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $91—No $16K
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $111—Yes $12K
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $46Liquid $11K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $96—Yes $10K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $16—Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2—Bills $2.1K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $306—No $753
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $380—No $35K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $207—Yes $20K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $128—No $18K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $296—Yes $16K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $117—No $10K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66—Yes $4.7K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $410—Yes $4.4K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $105—Yes $3.0K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $2.5K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25—Yes $2.3K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $108—Yes $967
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $222—Yes $28
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47—Yes $193
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $164
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19—Yes $118