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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (6114–5447, n=11561) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (276 of 419 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 73% (80 of 109 open) | 61% (20 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 87% of 90) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 369) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 401) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 1208) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $2 | — | Raiders $171K | Raiders $5.8K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $5 | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $13 | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $11 | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $18 | — | Browns $297K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $6 | — | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $936 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $353 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $91 | — | No $16K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming $46 | Liquid $11K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13 | — | Yes $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $21 | — | — | Bills $4.5K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $256 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $4 | — | — | Bills $2.7K |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $14 | — | — | Bills $2.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $65 | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $148 | — | Yes $943 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $306 | — | No $753 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $17 | — | — | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $8 | — | — | Bills $662 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $17 | — | — | Ravens $295 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Under $105 |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $11 | — | — | Under $31 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $380 | — | No $35K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic same side · consensus Celtics | Magic $60 | — | Magic $24K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $128 | — | No $21K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $207 | — | Yes $20K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $296 | — | Yes $16K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $129 | — | No $10K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $66 | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $410 | — | Yes $4.4K | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $127 | — | Yes $3.0K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | — | Under $2.8K |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | Yes $2.5K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $10 | — | — | Under $2.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Under $1.8K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $21 | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $108 | — | Yes $967 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | — | Under $575 |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $1 | — | — | Bills $282 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Under $261 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $222 | — | Yes $28 | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $46 | — | Yes $193 | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | Yes $164 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $9 | — | — | Steelers $156 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | — | Yes $118 | — |