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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMichael-The-TaxiarchUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)57% (55–41, n=96)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$31K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #548PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)79% (217 of 275 open)55% (6 of 11 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)45% (won 7% of 44)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)12% (won 50% of 12)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)10% (won 70% of 10)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 97% of 32)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMichael-The-TaxiarchUpTheBlues
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $69KSport Lisboa e Benfica $20K——
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23KNo $40K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.3K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $138—No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Athletic Club $218
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225KYes $53K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96KNo $51K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $51K——
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $57K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311No $7.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4KUnder $3.4K——
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43No $4.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49No $2.9K——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $99No $2.2K——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25PFK CSKA Sofia $2.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $586—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6