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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpkaxel78RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)43% (380–507, n=887)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$48K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #67PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (208 of 336 open)57% (20 of 35 open)65% (101 of 155 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Politics −1 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%44% of 409 at avg 45¢, ROI +8%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)53% (won 2% of 216)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 60% of 10)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)2% (won 50% of 10)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)42% (won 96% of 173)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpkaxel78RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.1K—Over $17
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $802—Yes $419
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237—Hawks $408
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $449—Carole Monnet $2
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26—No $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $5.5K—Daniil Medvedev $36K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $31K—No $4.4K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $21K—Yes $12K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $19K—Olympiakós SFP $109
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15K—Yes $390
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.2K—Over $7.9K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $3.3K—Matej Dodig $9.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.5K—Under $1.7K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.5K—No $3.6K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6.1K—Yes $101
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $3.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $2.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
—Tomas Curras Abasolo $341—Tomas Curras Abasolo $1.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $776—76ers $240
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $695—Yes $231
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
—Yasmine Kabbaj $887—Yasmine Kabbaj $9
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $768—No $31
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505—Over $158
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Ignacio Parisca $298—Ignacio Parisca $296
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $576—No $3
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $170—Under $119
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $40—Under $238
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $170—Olympiakós SFP $104
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Midori Castillo Meza
same side · consensus Victoria Rodriguez
—Victoria Rodriguez $92—Victoria Rodriguez $178
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $162
W50 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $19—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $97
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $78—Over $19
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $28
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $56—No $12