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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) | 39% (291–447, n=738) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $3.1M | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 69% (127 of 185 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) | 83% (350 of 423 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $5.2K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.6K | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $420 | Under $762 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Athletic Club $347 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $495 | Yes $1 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | Under $82 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | No $288 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $111 | Yes $3 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $42 | Yes $36 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Under $12 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $161K | — | — | No $81 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Under $21K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | No $16K | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | — | No $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Under $3.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Under $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | No $2.6K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | No $1.2K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | Yes $161 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | Under $931 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $311 | Under $416 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $705 | Over $5 | — |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14 | Yes $175 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | CD Pamplona $6 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $21 | No $61 | — |