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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | l..messi | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | $84K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #16 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 73% (89 of 122 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 59% (34 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | l..messi | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.9K | — | Yes $59 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.8K | — | Over $106 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.3K | — | No $276 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $588 | — | Clippers $656 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Spread: Heat (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Heat $200 | — | Kings $975 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $29 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $17K | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $29K | — | No $2.9K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $659 | — | Keisuke Saitoh $24K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | — | Bears $11K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Over $3.4K |
| Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $771 | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.0K |
| Spread: Heat (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $2.9K | — | Kings $834 |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Under $570 |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Under $556 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $2.7K | — | Over $256 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.9K | — | Over $931 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Clippers $937 | — | Clippers $1.7K |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Under $13 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.1K | — | Clippers $665 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $204 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | — | Giles Hussey $370 | — | Giles Hussey $24 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $26 |