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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Elias.Thornwell | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (10070–2842, n=12912) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $84 | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (460 of 565 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (57 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3321 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 60% of 98) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 96% of 98) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 98% of 168) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 100% of 2957) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.