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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlamePyroFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (409–254, n=663)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.8K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #756PM monthly #10PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)63% (106 of 169 open)61% (37 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −19 pts, n=20Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 20% of 74)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 37% of 103)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 65% of 149)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 86% of 217)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlamePyroFlaznorpRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $47KMiami (FL) $965Notre Dame $42K
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $20KWest Virginia $108—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Magic $2.5KWarriors $770
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Rockets $3.1KSuns $23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $39
Red Wings vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
—Red Wings $50Avalanche $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $22KNo $6.7K
Michigan State vs. Michigan
same side · consensus Michigan State
Michigan State $1.7K—Michigan State $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
Air Force $1.8K—Air Force $12K
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $3.0KSpurs $155
Lightning vs. Wild
same side · consensus Wild
—Wild $579Wild $896
Sharks vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $952Stars $405
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $470Hawai'i $561
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $351Warriors $346
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29