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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1S-Workswhosay
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)59% (1381–957, n=2338)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M-$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74PM monthly #942
Sides with the consensus66% (130 of 196 open)64% (28 of 44 open)67% (2 of 3 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1S-Workswhosay
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $12K—Claire Liu $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K——
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6.6K——Yes $4.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K——
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $4.3KSofya Lansere $32——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613Over $3.3K——
Will FC København win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KNo $947——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $6——
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $4——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475Under $1.3K——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851Yes $326——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491No $524——
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141——Yes $799
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837Yes $60——
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $312——Yes $267
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $387——Yes $162
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $419Yes $41——
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $278——Yes $131
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11——
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $23——Yes $94
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $27KNo $11K——
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $10KNo $7.3K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $1.2KLorenzo Sonego $14K——
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $10KNo $4.8K——
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $5.1K——
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.7KUnder $42——
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.4KUnder $574——
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $342——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95Under $1.1K——
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $52——Over $772
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721Under $20——
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $241Under $328——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203Under $41——
Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $124Yes $16——
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $109Yes $22——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51Over $29——