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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 46% (1278–1472, n=2750) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $5.3M | -$18K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #348 | PM monthly #63 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (214 of 285 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (101 of 183 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 751 at avg 70¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 161) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 15% (won 100% of 110) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 424) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
57 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas vs. Auburn opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Auburn $33 | — | Arkansas $209 | Arkansas $3.5K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $109K | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $90K | — | No $4.1K | — |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $37K | — | Over $193 | — |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $29K | — | Over $103 | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $21K | — | Over $325 | — |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $6.8K | — |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $11K | — | Over $524 | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.9K | — | Under $373 | — |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SV 07 Elversberg | SV 07 Elversberg $5.5K | — | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $20 | — |
| Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.4K | — | Under $102 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.2K | — | Under $4.3K | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | — | Under $1 | — |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC | Leeds United FC $3.7K | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $2 | — |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.0K | — | Over $22 | — |
| Will FK Fakel Voronezh win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $406 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC | Newcastle United FC $2.5K | — | Fulham FC $75 | — |
| Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $406 | — |
| Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | No $3 | — |
| Leeds United FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $817 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| FC Slovan Liberec vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $477 | — | Over $220 | — |
| Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15 | — | Yes $617 | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $614 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $214 | — | Over $352 | — |
| Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $29 | — | No $302 | — |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Hull City AFC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $327 | — | Yes $1 | — |
| IFK Varnamo vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $225 | — | No $89 | — |
| Exact Score: Korona Kielce 0 - 1 RKS Radomiak Radom? opposite sides · consensus No | No $280 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $236 | — | Over $37 | — |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $183 | — | Yes $85 | — |
| Orlando City SC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20 | — | No $238 | — |
| SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. TSV Havelse: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $136 | — | No $75 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $136 | — | Under $67 | — |
| Exact Score: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0 - 0 FC Universitatea Cluj? opposite sides · consensus No | No $189 | — | Yes $9 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $129 | — | Over $38 | — |
| Exact Score: Ayutthaya United FC 2 - 1 Pattani FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $155 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | Under $141 | — |
| Manchester City FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $45 | — | No $91 | — |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Málaga CF O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $31 | — | Under $14 | — |
| FK Kharkiv vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | Over $21 | — |
| Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | No $11 | — |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $10 | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $130K | — | No $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Hull City AFC | Hull City AFC $50K | — | Hull City AFC $5.1K | — |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $29K | — | Under $2.7K | — |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $15K | — |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | — | Bianca Andreescu $17K | — |
| Iowa State vs. Baylor same side · consensus Baylor | — | — | Iowa State $835 | Iowa State $16K |