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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (886–468, n=1354)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$4.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #145PM monthly #55
Sides with the consensus63% (202 of 320 open)no open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)55% (101 of 185 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

49 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daa
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid CF $24K——AEK $4.7K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.7K——Under $15K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.7K——Joanna Garland $1.2K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.6K——Tomas Machac $3.1K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $2.1K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Henri Haupt $868——Alexandre Aubriot $2.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $355——Rinky Hijikata $2.1K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $10
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
Ignacio Parisca $320——Eric Vanshelboim $663
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380——Yes $501
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89——Yes $691
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $303——Under $333
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $533——Grizzlies $3
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $311——No $147
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $387——Yes $23
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
opposite sides · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
Carlota Martinez Cirez $381——Daria Yesypchuk $12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291——No $8
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $142——Over $137
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12——Thunder $251
Will Al Wahda FC (UAE) win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $236——Yes $6
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
Iliyan Radulov $139——Bruno Pujol Navarro $67
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $190——Sabres $15
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143——Over $28
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137——Yes $6
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Angelica Raggi
opposite sides · consensus Angelica Raggi
Angelica Raggi $49——Angela Fita Boluda $79
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $97——Robert Guna $24
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
Gaia Maduzzi $72——Lisa Pigato $46
W50 Heraklion: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
opposite sides · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
Valentini Grammatikopoulou $9——Nuria Brancaccio $94
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52——Under $43
M25 Heraklion: Oskari Paldanius vs Pablo Perez Ramos
opposite sides · consensus Pablo Perez Ramos
Oskari Paldanius $63——Pablo Perez Ramos $23
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - United21 Group B
opposite sides · consensus EYEBALLERS
Esport Academy Copenhagen $8——EYEBALLERS $37
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Tena Lukas $2——Pia Lovric $37
W15 Monastir: Pauline Gloeckner vs Sophie Ehrenbergerova
opposite sides · consensus Pauline Gloeckner
Pauline Gloeckner $17——Sophie Ehrenbergerova $16
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $20K——Lorenzo Musetti $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K——No $11K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $7.1K——No $1.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Alex de Minaur $6.6K——Alex de Minaur $1.3K
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
Nicolas Kicker $6.3K——Nicolas Kicker $741
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.1K——Over $29
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8K——Yes $1.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K——Yes $648
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.2K——Yes $34
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
Giannicola Misasi $69——Giannicola Misasi $1.7K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K——Juan Bautista Torres $217
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $694——Yes $986
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $65
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $12
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $1.1K——Joaquin Aguilar $272
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $1