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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | lightningbolts | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 59% (442–307, n=749) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $92K | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | was PM monthly #565 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (94 of 138 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 55% (24 of 44 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 299 at avg 60¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 3% (won 100% of 10) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 21% (won 100% of 64) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 45% (won 100% of 136) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 30% (won 100% of 89) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | lightningbolts | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | No $153 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $787 | — | Pistons $307 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Mavericks $499 | — | Nets $144 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | Over $29 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $2.5K | — | Bilibili Gaming $592K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $12K | — | Coco Gauff $57K | — |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $52K | — | No $4.8K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $12K | — | Bilibili Gaming $4.2K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Lakers $6.6K | — | Lakers $155 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Lakers $4.5K | — | Lakers $569 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | — | Lakers $632 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $884 | — | Mavericks $228 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $348 | — | Lakers $484 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $612 | — | Pistons $53 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 | — |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | No $26 | — |