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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpplustiRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)94% (15–1, n=16)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$16K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #883PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (178 of 238 open)75% (3 of 4 open)45% (50 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)27% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)73% (won 100% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpplustiRN1
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $67Under $3.3KOver $1.8K
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
Kentucky $26—Tennessee $23K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.1K—Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $3.5K—Knicks $155
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United FC $2.5K—Fulham FC $48
Magic vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Magic $2.0KWarriors $472
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K—No $188
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $1.8K—Jan Simonsson $7
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Under $262
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $249—Wizards $721
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $245—Yes $715
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $193—Nets $36
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $8
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $23K—Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $6.7K
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $16K—Over $5.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.2K—Thiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
Iowa $3.8K—Iowa $5.2K
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.0K—No $1.2K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $3.4K—Thunder $1.3K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
Air Force $30—Air Force $4.4K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $23Under $4.2K—
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K—Under $254
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $124—No $1.5K
FK Kharkiv vs. FK Karpaty Lviv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6Under $1.5K—
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $239
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
same side · consensus No
No $421—No $299
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $465—Under $6
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $126—Over $248
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $214—Over $42
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $111—Under $109
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Magic $122—Magic $41
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
Maple Leafs $14—Maple Leafs $4