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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (52 of 67 open)72% (74 of 103 open)62% (91 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracBreakTheBankRN1
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $9.1KBrowns $255KSteelers $5.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $38KCardinals $59KCowboys $11K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5KYes $39K—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $31K—Falcons $1.8K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8KYes $14K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $16K—
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $17K—Titans $658
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $28—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $8.2K—Ravens $1.7K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Falcons $5.2K—Buccaneers $1.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.3K—Bills $1.7K
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.1K—Bills $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $1.6K
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $410—Lions $2.1K
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.3K—Titans $302
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $407K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KYes $20K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844Yes $16K—
Colts vs. Jaguars
same side · consensus Jaguars
Colts $17K—Colts $116
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $6.9K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8KYes $3.0K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192Yes $2.5K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $967—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $334Yes $2.3K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $118—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $193—
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Buccaneers $230—Buccaneers $379
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $164—