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PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TimeTravelerRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (1475–1412, n=2887)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$156K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus80% (86 of 108 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position90% (144 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won77% of 1741 at avg 37¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 45% of 618)10% (won 57% of 2537)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 91% of 654)22% (won 94% of 5518)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 97% of 353)36% (won 99% of 8928)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 116)32% (won 100% of 7821)24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTimeTravelerRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $568——Yes $270K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $432——Yes $85K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $128——Yes $66K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $679——Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $87——Yes $20K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $222——Yes $19K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $238——Yes $18K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $403——Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $130——Yes $14K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $809——Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $220——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $105——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $182——Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66——Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $226——Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51——Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42——Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?
same side · consensus No
Yes $34——Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16——Yes $3.8K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31——Yes $3.6K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $298——Yes $2.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12——Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11——Yes $2.1K
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $259——Yes $1.8K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $119——Yes $1.3K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $659——Yes $230
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $124——Yes $374
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50——Yes $273
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47——Yes $171