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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anciano | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (727–521, n=1248) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $11.0M | $194K | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #763 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (71 of 114 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −3 pts, n=97 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1146 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 6% of 321) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 52% of 165) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 62% of 152) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 93% of 508) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.