← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anciano | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (729–510, n=1239) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $11.0M | $194K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #763 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (63 of 106 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (11 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −3 pts, n=97 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1146 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 6% of 321) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 52% of 165) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 62% of 152) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 93% of 508) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.