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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
berlinskiesBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (5735–4037, n=9772)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$49K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #356PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (55 of 87 open)72% (79 of 110 open)59% (91 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won98% of 2143 at avg 62¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 91% of 135)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 97% of 455)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 98% of 742)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 100% of 811)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketberlinskiesBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Steelers $14Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $16Yes $272K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $6.0K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16No $252K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $22Yes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23No $35K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20Yes $28K—
Vikings vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $17—Lions $21K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $423
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $2.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32Yes $4.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8—No $2.6K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20Yes $1.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $33No $590—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $148—Jose Pereira $129
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10—Yes $108
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $22K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $9No $88K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $72K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $23No $40K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $10No $10K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9—Over $2.4K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11Yes $2.2K—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $11No $747—