Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)44% (290–371, n=661)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL-$60K$1.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (108 of 166 open)58% (25 of 43 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
—Alexander Ritschard $140Luca Nardi $934—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169Cavaliers $708—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183Lakers $210—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Calvin Hemery
—Lucas Poullain $281Calvin Hemery $35—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Luka Mikrut $102Sandro Kopp $6—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $20Juan Sebastian Gomez $25—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $187Lakers $248—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29—