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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifiedpleaseletmealoneRememberAmalekSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)26% (29–82, n=111)no settled market70% (143–62, n=205)97% (214–6, n=220)
Consensus PnL$783K$880$494K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #341PM monthly #426PM monthly #153PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus68% (19 of 28 open)79% (142 of 180 open)54% (83 of 155 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketclassifiedpleaseletmealoneRememberAmalekSineNooneEI
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $209No $15K—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $527No $3.1K—
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $2——
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $225—Yes $1.6K—
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14—No $28—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $314Yes $7.5K—
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $26Yes $6.9K—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $469—No $4.8K—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $30Yes $5.0K—
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1KYes $598—
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12—Yes $549—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $230Yes $77—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $189—
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $137Yes $54—
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $95Yes $32—
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $27—
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $59Yes $20—
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $53Yes $18—
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $47Yes $16—
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32Yes $11—
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32Yes $11—
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $29Yes $10—
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $17Yes $6—
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $17Yes $6—
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14Yes $5—
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11Yes $4—
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11Yes $4—
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3Yes $1—
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $1—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2Yes $2—