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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| donthackme | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (28578–16304, n=44882) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $3.2M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #202 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (551 of 818 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=308 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 7491 at avg 41¢, ROI +13% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 12% of 3720) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 45% of 808) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 66% of 893) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 93% of 2070) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.