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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (15489–15567, n=31056) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) | 50% (20930–20602, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $3.1M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 58% (97 of 167 open) | 57% (17 of 30 open) | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.3K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | Mary Stoiana $332 | Sorana Cirstea $3.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | Remy Bertola $352 | Kilian Feldbausch $955 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $17 | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $176 | No $270 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $345 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig | — | Matej Dodig $95 | Tom Gentzsch $29 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | Yes $4 | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $37 | — | Yes $3.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | Otto Virtanen $201 | Otto Virtanen $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $791 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners same side · consensus Under | — | Under $34 | — | Under $378 |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre same side · consensus Justina Mikulskyte | — | Tiphanie Lemaitre $51 | Tiphanie Lemaitre $143 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | — | Yes $3 |