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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
peepeepooppoopRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)54% (870–748, n=1618)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$12K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #700PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (95 of 189 open)57% (85 of 150 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won77% of 1744 at avg 67¢, ROI −1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 20% of 333)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 62% of 152)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 74% of 204)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 97% of 1055)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpeepeepooppoopRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $88—No $252K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $21—Yes $169K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $85—No $40K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $109Raiders $17K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $38—No $16K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $464—Yes $4.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $532—No $590
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $45—Yes $943
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $747
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $35—No $184K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $26—Yes $77K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $275—Yes $28K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $513—Magic $24K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $54—No $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $62—Yes $20K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35—Yes $3.0K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $32—No $2.4K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18—Yes $2.3K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $43—Yes $1.1K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $129—Yes $28