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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 0x53eCc53E7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 41% (376–549, n=925) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $21K | $7.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #673 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | 68% (50 of 73 open) | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | MLB −2 pts, n=71 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 36% of 852 at avg 33¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 54% (won 7% of 464) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 13% (won 42% of 111) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 15% (won 63% of 125) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 18% (won 97% of 152) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.