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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BonereaperFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)58% (18499–13469, n=31968)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$539K$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #380PM monthly #23PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus70% (16 of 23 open)no open consensus position69% (287 of 415 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=53413, ROI +22%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%98% of 53543 at avg 67¢, ROI +22%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)4% (won 91% of 2396)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)15% (won 96% of 8279)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)33% (won 98% of 17412)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)48% (won 100% of 25456)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BonereaperFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $7.2K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $49—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9Under $5.2K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $596Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $138No $249
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $132Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $22K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $3.0K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $22K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $716—Yes $16K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $499No $15K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $3.3K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $2.1K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $586Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KYes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $337Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.1KOver $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $361Under $595
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $112Yes $52
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $6No $60
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $12