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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-P
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)83% (5378–1108, n=6486)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.5M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #527
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)86% (24 of 28 open)69% (230 of 335 open)77% (119 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

65 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-P
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $49Over $738
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—No $2.4KNo $1.1K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K—No $4.4KNo $2.0K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $2.7KNo $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K——
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $116No $2.7K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KOver $43
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $30No $2.3K
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $47
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $25
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $220No $598
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $614No $144
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $517Yes $210
Will OFI win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $42No $621
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $553No $44
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $170Seahawks $403
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $41Over $519
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $66No $388
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Broncos $300Panthers $80
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $108Lions $170
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $246
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $209
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 3 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $102
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4Yes $65
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $95K——Magic $360
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $1.2K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $19KYes $792
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13K——Over $177
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.4KNo $6.0K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.5KNo $2.1K
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.2KNo $879
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
——Arthur Fils $5.8KArthur Fils $1.0K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.6KUnder $31
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
——Nuno Borges $6.0KNuno Borges $593
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.5K—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.2KNo $377
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.5KUnder $664
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $2.1KNo $1.6K
Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.2KNo $1.4K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $2.3K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KUnder $692
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.6KYes $1.1K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $1.1K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.2KNo $944
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $489
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $260No $1.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $802No $760
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $557No $962
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $982Under $486