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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1shineforever
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)53% (72–63, n=135)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$137K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #220
Sides with the consensus71% (20 of 28 open)68% (131 of 193 open)57% (40 of 70 open)69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)63% (won 4% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)2% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)2% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)33% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1shineforever
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $46K—Jaguars $4.0K—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
—Andres Andrade $4.7KJames Kent Trotter $10K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $628—Yes $14K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $443—Yes $11K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $357—Yes $9.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
EC Bahia leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.8KYes $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KOver $812—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $443—Yes $1.3K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3KYes $118—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678—
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $32Under $564—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131Yes $28—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.6KThiago Seyboth Wild $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $16K—Ravens $688—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9.6KOver $1.1K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5KUtah $266——
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $3.3K—
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $956——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KOver $1.2K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $246No $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $322—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K—
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $676No $138—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $55Canucks $354—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $313—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $292Over $5—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $126Yes $17—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15Over $42—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $29Under $11—