Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1NM-P
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)63% (993–576, n=1569)82% (5443–1157, n=6600)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$4.8M$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #511
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)79% (103 of 130 open)68% (52 of 77 open)70% (56 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1NM-P
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $248
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $24
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $55
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $915—Under $35
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $409—Notre Dame $358
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621—No $144
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553—No $48
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $159—Seahawks $403
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $298—Panthers $183
Will Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $200
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $749
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7K—No $886
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $338
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $489
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $20
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $142
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $7
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $505—No $449
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155—No $794
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359—No $454
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $214—No $489
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $311—No $326
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $467—No $120
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $512—No $3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $314—Yes $201
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $222—Yes $18
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $23—No $16