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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1NM-P
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)63% (993–578, n=1571)82% (5482–1193, n=6675)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.7M$4.8M$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #529
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)69% (247 of 357 open)73% (56 of 77 open)65% (96 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1NM-P
Celtics vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Hornets $604Celtics $49K—Hornets $200
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $494—No $1.4K
Ducks vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Flames $87KDucks $59——
Jazz vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $30KMavericks $817——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $231
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $14K——Mavericks $584
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $240——
Raptors vs. Bucks
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $1.8KRaptors $4.2K——
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $514Over $1.9K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $1.3K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $845—Hornets $460
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $890—Over $168
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $747—Over $156
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $409—Notre Dame $358
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $614—No $144
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $167—Seahawks $478
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $259—Yes $263
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197—Over $305
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $298—Panthers $197
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $385—Over $12
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $63—No $193
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $218—Rams $25
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Mavericks $56Jazz $174——
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $94—Under $107
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $99—No $51
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $131
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11Raptors $56——
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4—Yes $62
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $15—Jazz $23
Fresno State vs. Utah State
opposite sides · consensus Utah State
—Utah State $4—Fresno State $5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus T1
T1 $368KT1 $40——
Spurs vs. Kings
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $220K——Spurs $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $1.2K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12KGrizzlies $1.0K——
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $10K—No $960
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2K—Yes $1.6K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $986
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $817
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $1.4K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.4K—No $407
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $1.6K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $747
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.8K—Over $145
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $492
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $612
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $23
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $258—No $1.4K
Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $154
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.3K—No $77
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.3K—No $84