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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 54% (4634–3878, n=8512) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $4.1M | $154K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #173 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 61% (40 of 66 open) | 73% (27 of 37 open) | 66% (137 of 208 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Elections −1 pts, n=1079 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 27% (won 2% of 1290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 5% (won 59% of 227) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 65% (won 97% of 3151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.