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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 11122 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (464–1001, n=1465) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $656K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (143 of 173 open) | 55% (77 of 139 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (77 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −12 pts, n=66 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 31% of 1672 at avg 30¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 4% of 1099) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 39% of 94) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 62% of 102) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 377) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 11122 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $52K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $1.9K | — | Browns $297K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | — | No $252K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $21K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $310 | — | — | No $88K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $72K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.0K | — | — | No $40K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $20K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $43 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7.8K | — | — | No $590 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $28K | — | Bills $378K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.8K | — | — | No $184K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $4.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $300 | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | — | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.0K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $5.7K | — | — | Yes $28K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $6.6K | — | — | No $21K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.7K | — | Raiders $24K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $867 | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | — | Yes $4.7K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $120 | — | — | Yes $2.3K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $440 | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $943 |