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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AckbarBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (32–36, n=68)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL-$41K$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (43 of 54 open)71% (103 of 145 open)56% (54 of 97 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=48—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won49% of 51 at avg 50¢, ROI −4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 31% of 16)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 56% of 34)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAckbarBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103K76ers $1.0K76ers $883
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13KNo $45KNo $18K
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $294K—Texans $5.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $8.7K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100K—Texans $1.5K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $59K—Cowboys $34K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
——Racing Club de Lens $7.1KOlympique de Marseille $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.6KYes $3.2K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.2K
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.0KYes $30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
——Club Atlético de Madrid $935FC Barcelona $88
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $28776ers $724—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $904Under $37
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $687Under $1
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $639Over $4
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $321Over $161
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $172No $197
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $23Over $53
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $17Bulls $3
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Colts $4.4K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
—Packers $143K—Packers $12
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $84KNo $26K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Patriots
—Packers $104K—Packers $3
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $30KNo $21K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $37KNo $3.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24K—Colts $8.5K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $24KNo $3.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
——CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
——No $267No $15K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
——Club Atlético de Madrid $11KClub Atlético de Madrid $3.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
——Club Atlético de Madrid $12KClub Atlético de Madrid $138
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $8.0KOver $3.1K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
——FC Barcelona $9.2KFC Barcelona $10
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $7.0KBulls $704—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
——FC Barcelona $3.7KFC Barcelona $3.2K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
——No $221No $4.5K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.0KNo $710
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.0KUnder $468