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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)45% (99–120, n=219)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$11K$4.1M$14.9M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #9PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus38% (14 of 37 open)67% (73 of 109 open)54% (32 of 59 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won39% of 54 at avg 23¢, ROI +11%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 21% of 34)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 67% of 12)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 67% of 6)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $4.1KLakers $84—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $38No $1.4K——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Sabres $136Golden Knights $1.0K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14—No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6Yes $686——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362No $280——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3Over $523——
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15No $499——
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Shunsuke Mitsui $68Geoffrey Blancaneaux $224—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Temple Owls $63Richmond Spiders $217—
Will Estoril Praia vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1No $277——
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
FK Polissia $7FK Kolos Kovalivka $217——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $107Under $116—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $7.3KCoco Gauff $39K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $823No $3.4K—
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
—Richmond Spiders $3.2KRichmond Spiders $602—
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $1.6K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $612Pistons $171—
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $509No $267—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—