Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$5.6M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #1PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)65% (267 of 410 open)no open consensus position55% (102 of 187 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $651KNo $40K—Yes $1.6K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64KYes $115K—Yes $23
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $24K—No $1.7K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $327K——Yes $508
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22K—Under $15K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17K—Under $11
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13K—Under $7
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.8K—Yes $11
Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.2K—No $565
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $375—Under $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $10
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—Yes $393
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $42
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $2
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K——Yes $153
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286—Leyre Romero Gormaz $740
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 4 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $773—Yes $15
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $89—Yes $691
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wrexham AFC
—Wrexham AFC $747—Middlesbrough FC $8
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $519—Under $203
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $296—Under $342
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $538—Grizzlies $3
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $387—Yes $23
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197—Over $140
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297—No $7
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $11—Thunder $269
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $257—Over $5
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Senators $196—Sabres $15
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
—CR Flamengo $192—Grêmio FBPA $3
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $173—Over $10
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $143—Over $28
KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo vs. Balkan Botevgrad
opposite sides · consensus Balkan Botevgrad
—KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo $106—Balkan Botevgrad $50
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $63—Yes $38
Will AS FAR vs. Raja Club Athletic end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $86—Yes $14
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $52—Under $43
M15 Trois-Rivières: Louis Wessels vs Aadarsh Tripathi
opposite sides · consensus Louis Wessels
—Louis Wessels $3—Aadarsh Tripathi $17
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $101K—No $46
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $9.2K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K——Yes $117
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $20K—No $11
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3K—No $11K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13K—Yes $35
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Betis Balompié
—Real Betis Balompié $8.9K—Real Betis Balompié $68
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.4K—Under $61
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.2K—Yes $7
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5K—No $28
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $6.9KCeltics $215——