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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGC-PRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)57% (8453–6477, n=14930)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$7.6M-$261K$14.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #462PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)62% (52 of 84 open)66% (21 of 32 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4441 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)6% (won 99% of 262)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)21% (won 100% of 919)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)22% (won 100% of 983)35% (won 99% of 9204)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)51% (won 100% of 2277)33% (won 100% of 8622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGC-PRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7KUnder $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $585No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $292KNo $26——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Inaki Montes $67Lorenzo Sonego $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6KNo $25——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $153
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $27
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $71
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $460—Yes $674
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $23——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $15K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $1.6KFalcons $27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343Under $468—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22—Yes $290
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13Under $9—