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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1S-WorksUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)50% (26154–25785, n=51939)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$14.8M$3.7M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #73PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus83% (44 of 53 open)55% (53 of 97 open)50% (1 of 2 open)66% (39 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1S-WorksUpTheBlues
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $294KTexans $5.1K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $1.5K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $848——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $1.7K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $91KTexans $1.5K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $17K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Under $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360—Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0K—Under $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7—No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $74
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $155——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $60—No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $29—Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20—Over $5
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.6K——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $62——
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3KBrowns $311——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $872
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $44—Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $67
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $41—Under $801