← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 58% (13508–9946, n=23454) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $687K | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 73% (297 of 407 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.