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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CosplayGaoJin | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (80–106, n=186) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $145K | $1.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #778 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (100 of 157 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | 48% (19 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=14 | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 175 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 21% of 38) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 53% of 68) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 52% of 64) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 80% of 5) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CosplayGaoJin | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | Tom Gentzsch $3.8K | — | Max Houkes $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $169 | — | Cavaliers $708 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $183 | — | Lakers $210 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $256 | — | No $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.4K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | — | Max Dahlin $333 | — | Max Dahlin $495 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $166 | — | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $197 | — | Lakers $248 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $155 | — | Lakers $282 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $170 | — | Cavaliers $111 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Raptors $162 | — | Raptors $116 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |