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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpFujimi888ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (133–142, n=275)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.0K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #977PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (107 of 157 open)no open consensus position73% (111 of 152 open)55% (30 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +21 pts n=36, ROI +24%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Other Sports −6 pts, n=120NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%48% of 252 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 20% of 10)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 48% of 127)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)44% (won 50% of 111)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)2% (won 100% of 4)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpFujimi888ndb1RN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $68—No $115Yes $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
AIK $3.4K——BK Hacken $465
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.1K——Under $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $1.9K——Elias Ymer $163
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851——Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15——PSV $113
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15——Yes $4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $57K——No $4.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $5.9K——Toby Samuel $31K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $33K——No $3.0K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $18K——No $5.7K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $18K——No $1.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.9K——No $80
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $74
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $49
Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $114
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29