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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMichael-The-Taxiarchndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)56% (53–41, n=94)65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$31K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #529PM monthly #147PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (215 of 341 open)55% (6 of 11 open)74% (34 of 46 open)65% (115 of 178 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)45% (won 7% of 44)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)12% (won 50% of 12)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)10% (won 70% of 10)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 97% of 32)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMichael-The-Taxiarchndb1RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Alex de Minaur $7.4K——Tomas Etcheverry $56K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.7K——Joanna Garland $5.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K——No $3.3K
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone
Franco Agamenone $218——Ignacio Monzon $5.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.1K——Over $31
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $863——Yes $265
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $210——No $663
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $223——Hawks $406
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $521——No $43
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Tena Lukas $2——Pia Lovric $250
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $125——Trail Blazers $99
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26——No $23
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $20K——Lorenzo Musetti $53K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K——Under $45
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.1K——Over $7.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $3.1K——Novak Djokovic $9.8K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $3.0K——Matej Dodig $9.6K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Olympiakós SFP $11K——Olympiakós SFP $109
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.7K——Under $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.1K——No $1.5K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $196
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K——Under $402
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $784——76ers $243
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Henri Haupt $868——Henri Haupt $54
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $638——Over $283
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
Iliyan Radulov $139——Iliyan Radulov $612
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $645——Under $56
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $505——Over $164
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
Ignacio Parisca $320——Ignacio Parisca $302
W75 Petange: Julia Avdeeva vs Lisa Zaar
same side · consensus Julia Avdeeva
Julia Avdeeva $450——Julia Avdeeva $25
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
same side · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
Carlota Martinez Cirez $381——Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $17——Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $167——Under $121
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $39——Under $243
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $218——Wizards $22
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Olympiakós SFP $87——Olympiakós SFP $104
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10——Yes $162